Events

What is coming up, and how Bitcoin reacted to each type of event in the past, measured from the minute of the release.

Fed decisions

The statement comes at 2:00 pm New York time. The next date appears here as soon as it is in the calendar.

Typical BTC swing in 24 h

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median of 0 decisions

Most common outcome, guessed before each

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needs 9+ measured decisions

History is building: 0 decisions measured so far. Odds appear from 8 on; every new release is measured 24 hours after it comes out.

Prices from Binance BTCUSDT 30-minute candles. The dashed line on each chart is the release; the shaded band is ±1% (flat). Odds before an event use only the events of the same type before it. Click any card for the details.