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How to read what we publish, the words we use with today’s numbers, and one closed call taken apart every week — the misses as well as the hits.

How to read our call

XRPshortentry 1.0103–1.0333 · stop 1.1939 · target 0.950085our latest call — open it next to this lesson
1
Side
LONG means we expect the target above the price to be reached before the stop below; SHORT the other way round. The side is chosen by code from a measured table, not by a person or a chatbot.
2
Entry zone
The call counts only if the price trades inside this narrow band (±0.2 ATR around the price when we published). If it never does, the call is “not filled” and is not scored.
3
Stop and target
The stop is 3 ATR away, the target 1.25 ATR. The target is close on purpose: most calls reach it, and a miss costs more than a hit earns.
4
The odds line
“~80% target before stop” is how calls of this shape did on years of history, next to a random entry (~75%) and break-even (71%). The honest edge is the gap to the random entry, not the 80% itself.
5
T2–T4
After the target we keep watching: how far the move went before the original stop. It describes the market, not a profit we booked; the record counts only the first target.
6
The end
Every call ends as target, stop, expired after 14 days, or not filled — and we publish each ending the same way, under the original post.

Words we use

ATR
Average true range: how much the coin usually moves in a day. Our stop and target are set in ATRs, so the same rule fits a calm coin and a wild one.
RSI
Relative strength index, 0–100: how one-sided the last 14 days were. Under 30 the sellers have had it their way, over 70 the buyers.
200-day average
The average price of the last 200 days, a common line between a long-term uptrend and downtrend.
Target before stop
The share of decided calls in which the price reached the target first. This is the number our record reports.
Break-even
With the stop 2.4 times as far as the target, a call needs to win 70.6% of the time just to break even. The gap above that line is what matters.
R
One R is the distance to the stop. A stop loses 1R; a target with our shape wins about 0.42R.
Funding
What traders with leverage pay each other on perpetual futures every 8 hours. Positive: longs pay shorts, the crowd leans long.
Open interest
The money in open futures positions. Rising with the price: new longs; falling fast: positions being closed.
Liquidation
A position closed by force because its margin ran out. A wave of them can push the price further.
Implied volatility
How big a move the options market prices in.
Max pain
The price at which option holders would collect least at an expiry. A fact about positions, not a target.
Unlock
Tokens held back for teams or investors becoming free to sell on a set date.
Fear & Greed
A 0–100 mood index from price moves, volume and social data. Low is fear.

One closed call a week, taken apart

Every Monday: a call that closed last week, a miss and a hit in turn when there are both.

The first one comes out on Monday.