ETH

What the call was based on

ETH still has the better swing setup on the long side because this system treats overbought RSI as a continuation condition when daily momentum stays positive, and shorting strength has no edge here. The trade is only attractive on a pullback into 2305.98-2354.75; above that zone the reward into 2546.78 thins out, while crowded retail longs, a long-liquidation read and a risk-off BTC-led regime argue against chasing. A daily break below 2128.99 would invalidate the continuation structure.

• RSI 75.2, MACD hist +53.9
• Entry 2306-2355; T1 2546.8 vs 2129 stop = 1.07R
• Vol 120.5%, OI -1.0%: long liquidation
• Retail L/S 2.44; top-vs-retail gap -0.64
• 10d pattern 60% lower, 10 cases thin

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.