Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
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opened 2026-08-29 09:06 UTC · closed 2026-09-03 21:06 UTC
Entry zone
77,000–78,150
filled at 77,673.99
Stop
72,450
-6.7%
Target (T1)
82,000
+5.6%
Result
+5.6%
5.5 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still has the cleaner swing bias while price holds above the EMA200 and positioning is being reset by long liquidation. The setup is not one-sided: RSI is overbought and the pattern sample is thin, but bullish treasury flow and stacked bids keep the long intact.

  • RSI 70.8, MACD hist +991; daily tide up
  • Price 7.75% فوق EMA200; 30d +21.4%
  • OI -2.9%, price/OI = long liquidation
  • Pattern: 43% lower after 10d, n=7 thin
  • Bids 2.32x asks; fear/greed 68

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-08-29T09:06:10.604Z_BTC_0