Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-08-30 07:08 UTC · closed 2026-09-03 21:03 UTC
Entry zone
76,750–77,250
filled at 77,250
Stop
71,850
-7.0%
Target (T1)
81,950
+6.1%
Result
+6.1%
4.6 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC is long-biased on pullbacks into the 77K area while price stays above the 200-day and open interest is rising on new money. ETF inflows snapped after a $3B streak, but funding is only 9.1% annualized and the crowd is not stretched. Lose 71.85K and the setup is wrong.

  • OI +1.95% 24h; price/OI = new money long
  • Funding 9.1% ann; top traders 2.08x vs 1.19x
  • Price 8.48% above EMA200; EMA20 above EMA50
  • H4 RSI 48.7, MACD hist -175
  • RSI 71.5, vol 39.5% avg; stretched rally

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-08-30T07:08:02.374Z_BTC_0