Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
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opened 2026-09-01 09:10 UTC · closed 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC
Entry zone
76,350–77,350
filled at 77,350
Stop
71,850
-7.1%
Target (T1)
81,478.87
+5.3%
Result
+5.3%
2.4 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC stays a swing long: risk-off still funnels capital into BTC, and price remains above EMA200. ETF and corporate demand are still showing up, but new money is shorting into rising OI and the book is ask-heavy, so I want a pullback entry around 76.3k-77.3k.

  • Price +7.65% vs EMA200; daily RSI 70.8
  • Daily MACD hist +313; top traders 2.10 long/short
  • Strategy bought 4,603 BTC; BlackRock ETF rebound $217M
  • New money short, OI +1.56%; bid/ask 0.55
  • Pattern 43% lower after 10d, n=7 thin

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-01T09:10:06.340Z_BTC_0