Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-09-12 09:06 UTC · closed 2026-09-21 00:56 UTC
Entry zone
76,650–78,050
filled at 77,379.99
Stop
71,503.192
-7.6%
Target (T1)
82,000
+6.0%
Result
+6.0%
8.7 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still has the cleaner long setup while price holds above the EMA200 and volume is 125% of average. Positioning is not crowded enough to lean against the move, but ETF outflows are a real headwind, so this is a swing long with moderate conviction.

  • Price 77.4k, above EMA200 by 6.1%
  • RSI 54.9; H4 RSI 41.3, no blowoff
  • Price/OI short covering; OI -3.25% 24h
  • ETF outflows $449M in 3d, cuts against longs

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-12T09:06:19.663Z_BTC_0