Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-09-14 09:06 UTC · closed 2026-09-18 12:56 UTC
Entry zone
76,050–77,025
filled at 77,025
Stop
71,252.536
-7.5%
Target (T1)
80,236.975
+4.2%
Result
+4.2%
4.2 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still holds a bullish daily structure and is seeing fresh positioning, which keeps the path of least resistance up. The setup is not clean: ETF outflows and stacked asks argue for a slower grind rather than a fast breakout.

  • Daily stack bull; 4h RSI 54.8, hist +121
  • Price 6.47% above EMA200, 29.1% of 52w range
  • ETFs shed $463M; flow still leans away
  • OI +1.55%, price/OI new money long
  • 44% below 20d volume; asks stacked 0.76

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-14T09:06:11.006Z_BTC_0