Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-09-15 09:06 UTC · closed 2026-09-18 12:56 UTC
Entry zone
76,487.537–77,364.483
filled at 76,926.01
Stop
70,348.919
-8.5%
Target (T1)
79,666.465
+3.6%
Result
+3.6%
3.2 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC keeps a bullish higher-timeframe structure, but the tape is still digesting a liquidation-led pullback. Momentum is mixed under the daily average and the latest ETF flow data argues for caution, so I prefer long only while the trend holds.

  • Bull stack, price 5.3% over EMA200
  • OI down 1.3%, long liquidation backdrop
  • BTC ETFs shed $463M; near-term headwind
  • 46-case setup: 52% lower after 10 days

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-15T09:06:11.084Z_BTC_0