ETH

longExpired
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opened 2026-09-23 11:06 UTC · closed 2026-10-07 11:06 UTC
Entry zone
2,714.1965–2,755.1035
filled at 2,734.65
Stop
2,427.8477
-11.2%
Target (T1)
2,862.4843
+4.7%
Result
-5.7%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+4.7%
    2,862.4843
    not reached
  2. T2+7.6%
    2,941.4605
    not reached
  3. T3+12.2%
    3,069.2948
    not reached
  4. T4+19.8%
    3,276.1053
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

ETH/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

ETH keeps the long bias on a bullish daily stack, rising weekly trend, and price still above key moving averages. The setup is not clean because retail is crowded long and the 4h momentum has softened, but funding is modest and there is no major positioning shock against the trade. The onchain transfer is a near-term supply caution, not enough to break the trend.

  • Daily RSI 69.8, MACD hist +16.9
  • H4 MACD hist -2.6, momentum cooling
  • Retail long 70.7%, top traders 1.53
  • 38% lower after 10d, n=16, thin
  • $75M ETH to Wintermute, supply overhang

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-23T11:06:26.656Z_ETH_0