ARB
shortTarget hitDo you agree?
opened 2026-09-29 17:10 UTC · closed 2026-10-08 15:00 UTCEntry zone
0.200452–0.209349
filled at 0.2049
Stop
0.271628
+32.6%
Target (T1)
0.177097
-13.6%
Result
+13.6%
8.9 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
How far the price went
- T1-13.6%0.177097not reached
- T2-22.0%0.15992not reached
- T3-35.5%0.132117not reached
- T4-57.5%0.0871366not reached
The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.
ARB/USDT · daily · this call's levels
What the call was based on
ARB is still extended far above its long-term trend, and the 4h momentum has rolled over. That makes the current move more vulnerable to a fade even though the daily structure is still bullish and the weekly trend points up.
- Price 52.1% above EMA200; stretch favors shorts
- 4h RSI 44.4, MACD hist -0.00113
- OI -1.59% 4h; rally looks like liquidation
- EMA20 0.1931 > EMA200 0.1328; weekly up
Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.
Verification
From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.
2026-09-29T17:10:29.050Z_ARB_0