ETH

longExpired
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opened 2026-09-29 21:03 UTC · closed 2026-10-13 21:03 UTC
Entry zone
2,668.7616–2,706.6984
filled at 2,687.73
Stop
2,403.2035
-10.6%
Target (T1)
2,806.2827
+4.4%
Result
-6.5%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+4.4%
    2,806.2827
    not reached
  2. T2+7.1%
    2,879.5247
    not reached
  3. T3+11.5%
    2,998.0774
    not reached
  4. T4+18.7%
    3,189.8721
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

ETH/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

ETH keeps a bullish daily stack and the weekly trend is still up, so the path of least resistance remains higher. The tape is also getting support from a fresh ETH treasury buy, but positioning is crowded and the current move is still mostly short covering.

  • ETH fund buy: Bitmine added $47M, stake at 4.9% supply
  • RSI 63.1, MACD hist -2.18; trend still up
  • Retail long 72.2%; top traders 1.53; crowded longs
  • Price/OI short covering, OI -1.3% 24h
  • 10d sample: 39% lower after setup, n=18

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-09-29T21:03:23.466Z_ETH_0