Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

AAVE

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-01 09:01 UTC · closed 2026-10-02 03:58 UTC
Entry zone
163.32–167.66
filled at 165.49
Stop
132.96
-19.7%
Target (T1)
179.04
+8.2%
Result
+8.2%
0.8 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
Share this call:XTelegramPicture

How far the price went

  1. T1+8.2%
    179.04
    not reached
  2. T2+13.2%
    187.42
    not reached
  3. T3+21.4%
    200.97
    not reached
  4. T4+34.7%
    222.89
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

AAVE/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

AAVE keeps a bullish trend stack, strong momentum, and heavy turnover, so the path of least resistance stays higher. The main counterweight is that the move has been helped by short covering and the setup has only a weak 10-day follow-through record.

  • EMA20 144.14 > EMA50 129.26 > EMA200 116.64
  • RSI 63.79, MACD hist 1.54; 4h RSI 59.41
  • Volume 162.4% of 20d avg on a down day
  • Open interest -11.13% 24h, price/OI short covering
  • 49% lower after 10d in 35 cases; weak edge

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-01T09:01:12.775Z_AAVE_0