BTC

longTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-01 13:05 UTC · closed 2026-10-02 03:58 UTC
Entry zone
83,139.453–84,045.407
filled at 83,592.43
Stop
76,797.773
-8.1%
Target (T1)
86,423.537
+3.4%
Result
+3.4%
0.6 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+3.4%
    86,423.537
    not reached
  2. T2+5.5%
    88,172.598
    not reached
  3. T3+8.9%
    91,003.705
    not reached
  4. T4+14.3%
    95,583.873
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

Trend still points higher: BTC holds a bullish daily stack, the weekly trend is up, and 4h momentum stays positive. The main drag is derivatives and flows: ETF inflows just broke and price is still below the recent highs, so upside may need fresh demand to extend. I still lean long, but the evidence is thinner than the chart alone suggests.

  • Daily EMA stack up, weekly trend up, RSI 61.2
  • 4h RSI 51.7, MACD hist +34.2; momentum holds
  • $149M ETF outflow ends 9-day $3B inflow streak
  • New money short, but top traders 2.10 long
  • 47 cases: 51% lower after 10d, basically flat

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-01T13:05:15.335Z_BTC_0
BTC long · 2026-10-01 · Crypto Outlooks