Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

NEAR

shortTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-02 05:12 UTC · closed 2026-10-08 17:55 UTC
Entry zone
4.9065–5.1095
filled at 5.008
Stop
6.5308
+30.4%
Target (T1)
4.3735
-12.7%
Result
+12.7%
6.5 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-12.7%
    4.3735
    not reached
  2. T2-20.5%
    3.9815
    not reached
  3. T3-33.2%
    3.347
    not reached
  4. T4-53.7%
    2.3204
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

NEAR/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

Short NEAR on the exploit shock and 4h momentum rollover. The daily trend is still strong, but price is stretched far above the long-term average and positioning shows new money short. Thin pattern history does not offset the direct security hit.

  • NEAR Intents $3.8M exploit, direct asset hit
  • 4h RSI 46.7, MACD hist -0.048
  • Price 123.6% above EMA200
  • Daily RSI 64.6, EMA stack bullish

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-02T05:12:13.065Z_NEAR_0