BTC

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-03 13:03 UTC · closed 2026-10-17 13:03 UTC
Entry zone
84,377.419–85,309.161
filled at 84,843.29
Stop
77,855.232
-8.2%
Target (T1)
87,754.981
+3.4%
Result
-3.9%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+3.4%
    87,754.981
    not reached
  2. T2+5.6%
    89,553.826
    not reached
  3. T3+9.0%
    92,465.517
    not reached
  4. T4+14.5%
    97,176.053
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC keeps the long bias while price holds above a bullish EMA stack and the weekly trend stays up. ETF inflows and stacked bids support dips, but the setup is not clean because fresh positioning is leaning short and the 10-day pattern is flat to slightly negative. I keep conviction at the card anchor since the supportive flow is real, but the pattern history keeps it from getting stronger.

  • ETF inflows $103M; spot demand still bidding
  • 36 cases, 50% lower after 10d
  • Price 13.6% above EMA200; trend intact
  • OI +1.29% on down day, new money short
  • Bids 1.54x asks within 1%; dip support

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-03T13:03:12.042Z_BTC_0