ETH

longStopped
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-07 09:07 UTC · closed 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC
Entry zone
2,594.2871–2,626.6329
filled at 2,610.46
Stop
2,367.8658
-9.3%
Target (T1)
2,711.5409
+3.9%
Result
-9.3%
7.7 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+3.9%
    2,711.5409
    not reached
  2. T2+6.3%
    2,773.9888
    not reached
  3. T3+10.1%
    2,875.0698
    not reached
  4. T4+16.4%
    3,038.5986
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

ETH/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

ETH keeps the long bias because the daily trend is still bullish, weekly trend is up, and funding has flipped negative while shorts pay to hold. The case is not clean: 4h momentum is weak, price is being sold with new open interest, and ETF outflows are a real headwind. Pattern history is too small to overrule the setup, so I stay with the long but trim conviction by one because the ETF flow is bearish.

  • Daily RSI 59.7, EMA stack bullish
  • 4h RSI 31.2, MACD hist -10.3
  • Funding -3.5% annualized; shorts pay
  • ETH ETF outflows hit 3-week high
  • 45% lower after 10d; 22 cases

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-07T09:07:13.820Z_ETH_0