ETH

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-09 09:01 UTC · closed 2026-10-23 09:01 UTC
Entry zone
2,486.4613–2,523.8187
filled at 2,505.14
Stop
2,224.9593
-11.2%
Target (T1)
2,621.882
+4.7%
Result
-4.3%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+4.7%
    2,621.882
    not reached
  2. T2+7.5%
    2,694.0053
    not reached
  3. T3+12.2%
    2,810.7473
    not reached
  4. T4+19.7%
    2,999.6126
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

ETH/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

ETH still has a bullish base from the EMA stack and weekly uptrend, but momentum is soft and the derivatives backdrop is not clean. Short liquidation and stacked bids help the long case, yet crowded retail longs and ETF outflows keep the move vulnerable.

  • RSI 37.5, MACD hist -30.7; oversold drift
  • Price 9.0% above EMA200, weekly trend up
  • Retail long 3.36x, top traders 1.69x
  • 40% lower after 10d; thin 10-case sample
  • Ether ETF outflows swell toward $1B

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-09T09:01:11.336Z_ETH_0