BTC
longExpiredDo you agree?
opened 2026-10-11 05:08 UTC · closed 2026-10-25 05:08 UTCEntry zone
82,636.736–83,483.284
filled at 83,060.01
Stop
76,710.899
-7.6%
Target (T1)
85,705.473
+3.2%
Result
-3.0%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
How far the price went
- T1+3.2%85,705.473not reached
- T2+5.2%87,339.842not reached
- T3+8.3%89,985.305not reached
- T4+13.5%94,265.138not reached
The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.
BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels
What the call was based on
BTC still holds a bullish daily structure with price above the 200-day and a rising weekly trend. Short funding and stacked bids support the long, but momentum is soft and ETF outflows are a real drag, so conviction stays modest.
- EMA20 83247 above EMA50 79901, trend still up
- Funding -3% annualized; shorts pay longs
- 62 cases, 40% lower after 10d on this setup
- MACD hist -567.9, daily momentum still soft
- $730M ETF outflows flagged, near-term headwind
Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.
Verification
From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.
2026-10-11T05:08:11.800Z_BTC_0