Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

SOL

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-12 09:08 UTC · closed 2026-10-26 09:08 UTC
Entry zone
110.87–112.75
filled at 111.81
Stop
97.681
-12.6%
Target (T1)
117.7
+5.3%
Result
-9.1%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+5.3%
    117.7
    not reached
  2. T2+8.5%
    121.33
    not reached
  3. T3+13.8%
    127.22
    not reached
  4. T4+22.3%
    136.75
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

SOL/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

SOL still has a bullish trend frame, with price above the EMA200 and 4h momentum firm enough to keep the long side active. But the move is being carried on weak volume in a risk-off alt backdrop, while ETF flows and crowded retail longs argue for caution. The setup is constructive, not clean, so conviction stays one notch below the card anchor.

  • EMA stack bullish; price 14.9% over EMA200
  • Short covering, OI -0.5% 24h
  • SOL ETF posts biggest weekly exit after 14-week streak
  • Volume 47% of 20d avg; retail longs 70.4%
  • 10d setup: 42% lower after 26 cases, thin sample

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-12T09:08:12.757Z_SOL_0