AVAX

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-14 13:04 UTC · closed 2026-10-28 13:04 UTC
Entry zone
9.8782–10.166
filled at 10.022
Stop
7.865
-21.5%
Target (T1)
10.921
+9.0%
Result
-11.6%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+9.0%
    10.921
    not reached
  2. T2+14.5%
    11.476
    not reached
  3. T3+23.5%
    12.375
    not reached
  4. T4+38.0%
    13.829
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

AVAX/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

AVAX keeps a bullish higher-timeframe structure, with price above EMA200 and bids stacked below spot. But 4h momentum is weak, positioning is leaning to new shorts, and the short-term pattern set has been very poor even if thin.

  • Daily EMA stack bullish; price 10.41% above EMA200
  • 4h RSI 41.7, MACD hist -0.032; momentum still soft
  • Price/OI = new money short; 24h OI +1.73%
  • 20d pattern: 88% lower after 10d, but only 16 cases
  • Bids 1.61x asks inside 1%; Fear & Greed 62

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-14T13:04:15.660Z_AVAX_0