Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

POL

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-15 13:06 UTC · closed 2026-10-29 13:06 UTC
Entry zone
0.0913465–0.0942335
filled at 0.09279
Stop
0.0711379
-23.3%
Target (T1)
0.101812
+9.7%
Result
-0.8%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+9.7%
    0.101812
    not reached
  2. T2+15.7%
    0.107385
    not reached
  3. T3+25.5%
    0.116407
    not reached
  4. T4+41.2%
    0.131002
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

POL/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

POL is still under its 200-day average, but the latest liquidation cleared a lot of weak shorts and funding remains negative. Bids are stacked, which gives the long a better near-term setup than the weaker momentum alone would suggest.

  • OI -43.4% in 1h, forced shorts already flushed
  • Funding -6.5% annualized, shorts pay longs
  • Bid depth 88k vs 56k asks, ratio 1.57
  • Daily RSI 40.2; 4h RSI 34.3, momentum still soft

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-15T13:06:13.191Z_POL_0