AAVE

longStopped
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-16 13:09 UTC · closed 2026-10-29 02:06 UTC
Entry zone
158.94–163.26
filled at 161.1
Stop
128.71
-20.1%
Target (T1)
174.6
+8.4%
Result
-20.1%
12.5 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
Share this call:XTelegramPicture

How far the price went

  1. T1+8.4%
    174.6
    not reached
  2. T2+13.6%
    182.94
    not reached
  3. T3+21.9%
    196.43
    not reached
  4. T4+35.5%
    218.27
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

AAVE/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

AAVE still has the higher-probability upside setup while price holds a bullish EMA stack and the weekly trend stays up. The move is not overcooked by funding, but the rally is coming off short covering rather than fresh leverage, so follow-through is the key test. Aave-specific WBTC pool stress adds a live catalyst without changing the broader swing bias.

  • Bullish EMA stack; price 29.9% above EMA200
  • 4h RSI 58.6, MACD hist +1.37
  • Short covering; OI -4.35% in 24h
  • Pattern: 38% lower after 10d, 61 cases
  • Funding 1.6% annualized; not crowded longs

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-16T13:09:12.953Z_AAVE_0