BTC

longTarget hit
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opened 2026-10-17 05:06 UTC · closed 2026-10-21 13:59 UTC
Entry zone
81,174.938–82,074.762
filled at 81,624.85
Stop
74,876.177
-8.3%
Target (T1)
84,436.797
+3.4%
Result
+3.4%
4.4 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+3.4%
    84,436.797
    not reached
  2. T2+5.6%
    86,174.021
    not reached
  3. T3+9.0%
    88,985.968
    not reached
  4. T4+14.6%
    93,535.139
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still holds a bullish daily stack and trades above EMA200, which favors dip buying on a swing basis. Momentum is soft and the Strategy index-removal headline can cap follow-through, so upside likely needs a clean rebound from support rather than a straight breakout.

  • Strategy faces MSCI removal; treasury overhang
  • 31% lower after 10d in 35 cases
  • RSI 46.7, MACD hist -532; momentum soft
  • Price 7.7% above EMA200, weekly trend up
  • Retail longs 63.3%, top traders 1.77 long

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-17T05:06:12.673Z_BTC_0