BTC

longExpired
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opened 2026-10-19 05:08 UTC · closed 2026-11-02 05:08 UTC
Entry zone
82,226.444–83,073.556
filled at 82,650
Stop
76,296.653
-7.7%
Target (T1)
85,297.228
+3.2%
Result
-5.2%
14.0 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1+3.2%
    85,297.228
    not reached
  2. T2+5.2%
    86,932.688
    not reached
  3. T3+8.4%
    89,579.916
    not reached
  4. T4+13.6%
    93,862.604
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC keeps a bullish daily and weekly structure, with 4h momentum still positive and price holding well above the 200-day average. The setup is supported by the historical pattern data, but the move is not clean: positioning is crowded on the retail side and recent ETF flow remains a headwind. That keeps the bias long, but with only moderate conviction.

  • EMA20 82638 above EMA50 80531, weekly up
  • RSI 48.9, 4h MACD hist 104.8
  • 43% lower after 10d in 63 cases
  • ETF outflows near $1B, retail longs 63.8%
  • Price up on falling OI, 1.21% OI drop

Bitcoin market regime at the time: bull.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-19T05:08:10.019Z_BTC_0