BTC

shortTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-10-25 05:10 UTC · closed 2026-10-29 22:55 UTC
Entry zone
80,482.913–81,335.767
filled at 80,909.34
Stop
87,305.739
+7.9%
Target (T1)
78,244.174
-3.3%
Result
+3.3%
4.7 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-3.3%
    78,244.174
    not reached
  2. T2-5.3%
    76,597.631
    not reached
  3. T3-8.6%
    73,932.465
    not reached
  4. T4-14.0%
    69,620.756
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still has a bullish daily EMA stack and a weekly uptrend, but short-term momentum is weak and derivatives are leaning crowded long. Price is also near the upper half of its yearly range while retail and top traders are both net long, which makes the rally easier to fade than chase. The short case is reinforced by the recent leverage unwind and the negative daily and 4h momentum read. Thin pattern history keeps this from being a high-conviction call, but it does not change the side.

  • RSI 44.3, MACD hist -288.5
  • New money long, OI +2.04% 24h
  • Retail longs 68.8%, top traders 1.70
  • Price 6.1% above EMA200, weekly up

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-25T05:10:14.918Z_BTC_0