Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

SOL

shortTarget hit
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opened 2026-10-27 13:12 UTC · closed 2026-10-29 19:55 UTC
Entry zone
99.829–101.57
filled at 100.7
Stop
113.77
+13.0%
Target (T1)
95.254
-5.4%
Result
+5.4%
2.3 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-5.4%
    95.254
    not reached
  2. T2-8.7%
    91.89
    not reached
  3. T3-14.2%
    86.444
    not reached
  4. T4-22.9%
    77.634
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

SOL/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

SOL has weak daily and 4h momentum while price is still only modestly above its 200-day EMA. Positioning also leans against longs, with retail crowded long and fresh short positioning entering on rising open interest. The main pushback is the bullish daily EMA stack and the thin pattern sample, so this is not a strong trend-collapse call. It is a lower-conviction fade of weak momentum inside a risk-off tape.

  • RSI 35.2, MACD hist -0.60
  • 4h RSI 39.2, hist -0.01
  • 3.08x retail long, tops 2.32x
  • Price/OI new money short, OI +3.8%
  • Bullish EMA stack; trend resists fade

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-10-27T13:12:17.994Z_SOL_0