BTC

shortTarget hit

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opened 2026-11-02 05:12 UTC · closed 2026-11-04 03:02 UTC

Entry zone

77,961.342–78,743.558

filled at 78,352.45

Stop

84,219.076

+7.5%

Target (T1)

75,908.022

-3.1%

Result

+3.1%

1.9 days

Odds for this shape

~80%

random entry ~75% · break-even 71%

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How far the price went

T1-3.1%
75,908.022
not reached
T2-5.0%
74,397.852
not reached
T3-8.2%
71,953.425
not reached
T4-13.2%
67,998.827
not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC is still below its short-term averages, with daily momentum weak and the book leaning on the ask. The crowd is heavily long, but the move has been driven by short covering rather than fresh positioning, so follow-through looks fragile. The wallet-drain headline adds a modest bearish tailwind, but it is not strong enough to change the setup.

RSI 39.4, MACD hist -451.8
Price 2.4% above EMA200
OI -1.74%, short covering
Retail L/S 2.3, top traders 1.67
BTCPay drained wallets, server shutdown

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-02T05:12:30.780Z_BTC_0