BTC
shortTarget hitDo you agree?
opened 2026-11-03 05:04 UTC · closed 2026-11-08 20:54 UTCEntry zone
76,446.125–77,234.555
filled at 76,840.34
Stop
82,753.567
+7.7%
Target (T1)
74,376.496
-3.2%
Result
+3.2%
5.7 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
How far the price went
- T1-3.2%74,376.496not reached
- T2-5.2%72,854.33not reached
- T3-8.4%70,390.486not reached
- T4-13.6%66,404.476not reached
The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.
BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels
What the call was based on
BTC still has weak momentum and new money is coming in on the short side. Risk-off tape, ETF outflows, and stacked asks favor a swing fade, even though price remains just above the EMA200 and the pattern sample is thin.
- RSI 34.8, MACD hist -480, weak momentum
- Open interest +3.95%, price/OI new money short
- ETF outflows $643M after Binance hack
- Price 0.45% above EMA200, not fully broken
Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.
Verification
From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.
2026-11-03T05:04:15.759Z_BTC_0