BTC

shortTarget hit
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opened 2026-11-05 05:12 UTC · closed 2026-11-05 15:02 UTC
Entry zone
80,071.894–80,952.126
filled at 80,512.01
Stop
87,113.755
+8.2%
Target (T1)
77,761.283
-3.4%
Result
+3.4%
0.4 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-3.4%
    77,761.283
    not reached
  2. T2-5.5%
    76,061.881
    not reached
  3. T3-8.9%
    73,311.153
    not reached
  4. T4-14.5%
    68,861.024
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

The short case is driven by ETF outflows, a bearish first-touch card, and a market that is still only sideways above a mixed daily trend. That said, the move is not clean: price is being met by short covering, and the 10-day pattern sample is thin, so conviction stays at the card anchor rather than increasing.

  • BTC ETF outflows $1.16B, short-term supply pressure
  • Price/OI short covering; rally lacks fresh OI
  • H4 RSI 66.5, MACD hist 443.2
  • 43% lower after 10d, 14 cases; thin sample
  • Bid/ask 0.81, asks heavier inside 1%

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-05T05:12:15.509Z_BTC_0