Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

shortTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-11-08 05:07 UTC · closed 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC
Entry zone
75,433.407–76,338.773
filled at 75,886.09
Stop
82,676.329
+8.9%
Target (T1)
73,056.824
-3.7%
Result
+3.7%
2.4 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-3.7%
    73,056.824
    not reached
  2. T2-6.0%
    71,308.9
    not reached
  3. T3-9.8%
    68,479.634
    not reached
  4. T4-15.8%
    63,902.444
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC stays under pressure as momentum is weak, retail longs are crowded, and positioning shows long liquidation. The ETF outflow week and hacked-coins flow add fresh bearish pressure, while the pattern history is thin and does not override the setup.

  • RSI 38.01, MACD hist -331.7
  • Retail long 75.5%, top traders 1.866
  • Price/OI long liquidation, OI -0.38% 24h
  • ETFs -$1.28B week, $124M in hacked BTC
  • 40% lower after 10d, 25 cases

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-08T05:07:17.920Z_BTC_0