BTC

shortTarget hit
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opened 2026-11-09 05:11 UTC · closed 2026-11-12 14:04 UTC
Entry zone
74,173.973–75,091.527
filled at 74,632.75
Stop
81,514.4
+9.2%
Target (T1)
71,765.396
-3.8%
Result
+3.8%
3.4 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-3.8%
    71,765.396
    not reached
  2. T2-6.2%
    69,993.941
    not reached
  3. T3-10.1%
    67,126.587
    not reached
  4. T4-16.3%
    62,487.778
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

BTC still sits in a weak momentum phase with price below the 200-day average and daily and 4h momentum both soft. Positioning is crowded long, while the recent move has been a long liquidation rather than fresh demand. The ETF flow story adds a mild bearish headwind, so the short case keeps the edge.

  • RSI 35.6, MACD hist -373, momentum down
  • Retail long 73.7%, top traders 2.00x
  • Price/OI = long liquidation, OI -0.46%
  • 39% lower after 10d, n=18 thin sample
  • Ask depth 9.38M vs bids 5.93M, 0.63

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-09T05:11:25.432Z_BTC_0