Coming upBTC options expiry: $5.8B notional, max pain 77,000Fri 27 Nov, 08:00 UTCFed rate decisionWed 9 Dec, 19:00 UTC

BTC

shortTarget hit
Do you agree?
opened 2026-11-11 05:12 UTC · closed 2026-11-12 23:55 UTC
Entry zone
73,316.17–74,233.95
filled at 73,775.06
Stop
80,658.415
+9.3%
Target (T1)
70,906.996
-3.9%
Result
+3.9%
1.8 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-3.9%
    70,906.996
    not reached
  2. T2-6.3%
    69,135.102
    not reached
  3. T3-10.2%
    66,267.038
    not reached
  4. T4-16.5%
    61,627.08
    not reached

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

BTC/USDT · daily · this call's levels

What the call was based on

Short bias fits weak momentum, a mixed EMA stack, and fresh money still leaning short while ETF outflows stay heavy. Fear is high and price is already below the 200-day average, so any bounce can be sharp, but the bigger flow signal still points lower.

  • ETF outflows hit $1.66B over 7 sessions
  • RSI 34.0, MACD hist -382.6; 4h hist -61.6
  • Price 3.5% below EMA200; 52w rank 39.8%
  • Fear 29 and 113.6% volume can spark bounce

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-11T05:12:16.671Z_BTC_0