AVAX

shortOpen
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opened 2026-11-12 21:02 UTC
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Entry zone
8.2262–8.4538
not filled yet
Stop
10.047
+20.5%
Target (T1)
7.6286
-8.5%
Result
—
limit 14 days
Odds for this shape
~80%
random entry ~75% · break-even 71%
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How far the price went

  1. T1-8.5%
    7.6286
    not filled yet
  2. T2-13.8%
    7.1891
    not filled yet
  3. T3-22.3%
    6.4777
    not filled yet
  4. T4-36.1%
    5.3268
    not filled yet

The record scores T1 only: target before stop. T2 to T4 show how far the move went before the original stop, within the 14-day limit; the best move is the furthest the price went our way in that time. Both describe the market, not a profit we booked.

What the call was based on

AVAX stays in a weak trend: price is below the major averages, the weekly trend is down, and derivatives show new short positioning rather than a clean bid. The crowded long retail base and the usable pattern history both argue for downside follow-through, though bids under price and the tokenized-stocks angle limit conviction.

  • Bearish EMA stack, weekly down, 4h hist -0.015
  • New money short, OI +2.39% day, +15.18% week
  • Retail long 68.7%, top traders 2.16 long
  • Pattern: 44% lower after 10d, 39 cases
  • Bids stacked, bid/ask 1.4 within 1%

Bitcoin market regime at the time: side.

Verification

From v2 launch every call gets a fingerprint at the moment it is published, anchored daily in the Bitcoin blockchain (OpenTimestamps). This call predates that and is verified against the original Telegram channel post.

2026-11-12T21:02:18.834Z_AVAX_0