Our week9 Nov 2026, 07:17 UTC
33 decided calls, all 33 hit target and 0 stopped
- Our published calls that closed in the last 7 days: 43.
- Target hit 33, stopped 0, expired 10, not filled 0.
- 33 of the 33 decided calls were SHORTs, opened on 11 different days; BTC -5.1% over the last 7 days.
- Same-side calls rise and fall with the market together, so 33 results are far fewer independent bets.
- Why our posts show two numbers: our stop sits further away than the first target, so even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar past setups. Ours: ~80% of those that resolved. The edge is the gap, not the headline number.
33 decided calls all hit target with 0 stopped, but they were all SHORTs opened on 11 different days while BTC was -5.1% over the last 7 days. With same-side calls moving together, 33 results are fewer independent bets.
Our week19 Oct 2026, 07:21 UTC
18 of 35 closed calls expired in the last 7 days
- Our published calls that closed in the last 7 days: 35.
- Target hit 5, stopped 12, expired 18, not filled 0.
- Why our posts show two numbers: our stop sits further away than the first target, so even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar past setups. Ours: ~80%. The edge is the gap, not the headline number.
The week shows more expiries and stops than target hits: 18 expired, 12 stopped, 5 hit. The ~80% first-target figure needs context because the stop sits further away, so the edge is in the gap, not the headline number.
Our week5 Oct 2026, 07:24 UTC
20 of 22 closed calls hit target in the last 7 days
- Our published calls that closed in the last 7 days: 22.
- Target hit 20, stopped 0, expired 2, not filled 0.
- 16 of the 20 decided calls were LONGs, opened on 11 different days; BTC +3.7% over the last 7 days.
- Same-side calls rise and fall with the market together, so 20 results are far fewer independent bets.
- Why our posts show two numbers: our stop sits further away than the first target, so even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar past setups. Ours: ~80%. The edge is the gap, not the headline number.
The week looks strong on the surface: target hit 20, stopped 0, expired 2. But 16 of the 20 decided calls were LONGs across 11 days while BTC was +3.7%, and even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar setups versus ~80% here.
Our week21 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC
59 of 62 decided calls hit target in the last 7 days
- Our published calls that closed in the last 7 days: 63.
- Target hit 59, stopped 3, expired 0, not filled 1.
- 59 of the 62 decided calls were LONGs, opened on 10 different days; BTC +8.8% over the last 7 days.
- Same-side calls rise and fall with the market together, so 62 results are far fewer independent bets.
- Why our posts show two numbers: our stop sits further away than the first target, so even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar past setups. Ours: ~80%. The edge is the gap, not the headline number.
The week shows 59 target hits with BTC +8.8%, but the lines also say 62 results are not independent bets and ~75% of similar past setups reached the target first at random. That makes ~80% look like a modest edge, not a standalone win rate.