Breadth26 Sept 2026, 11:21 UTC
9 of 10 coins closed above their 200-day average
- 9 of 10 coins closed above their 200-day average.
- 9 of 10 are up over the last 7 days.
- 5 of 10 are in a bullish EMA stack.
- BTC trend: up.
- A count of today, not a forecast.
Breadth is strong on price and weekly gains, with 9 of 10 above the 200-day average and 9 of 10 up over the last 7 days. The EMA picture is less broad at 5 of 10, while BTC trend is up.
StretchNEAR26 Sept 2026, 07:16 UTC NEAR closed +139.6% from its 200-day average
- NEAR closed +139.6% from its 200-day average, the furthest of today's coins.
- Its daily RSI is 84.5.
- 8 of 10 closed more than 20% above that average; 1 closed below it by 10% or more.
- Stretch is not timing.
NEAR stands out as the most stretched name, with a daily RSI of 84.5. The broader tape also looks extended: 8 of 10 closed more than 20% above the 200-day average, while 1 closed below it by 10% or more.
Day recap25 Sept 2026, 23:17 UTC
10 of 10 finished the day higher
- Over the last 24 hours among today's coins: ENA +19.6%, LTC +0.6%.
- 10 of 10 finished the day higher.
- BTC trend: up, dominance 58.2%.
- Fear & Greed: 71 (Greed), 71 a day earlier.
- Worth noting: XLM closed at its highest in 97 days; LTC closed at its highest in 249 days.
- Our calls today: 6 - SKY, XLM, TAO, AAVE, DOT, PUMP.
- Closed today: 4 - 4 target hit.
- Last 30 days: 161 calls closed, 114 reached target, 21 stopped.
- Past results, not a forecast.
Breadth was strong: 10 of 10 finished higher while BTC trend stayed up with dominance at 58.2% and Fear & Greed held at 71. XLM closed at its highest in 97 days, LTC in 249 days, and 4 closed calls saw 4 target hit.
Below the peak25 Sept 2026, 19:23 UTC
9 of 10 are more than 50% below their all-time high
- SKY is the closest of today's coins to its all-time high, 23.2% below it.
- ICP is the furthest, 99.5% below its own peak.
- 9 of 10 are more than 50% below their all-time high.
- Distance from a past peak, not a target.
Most of today's list is still far from past highs: 9 of 10 are more than 50% below. SKY stands out at 23.2% below, while ICP is 99.5% below, so the group is widely spread.
Open interest25 Sept 2026, 11:19 UTC
7 of 10 coins show new money long over the last 24 hours
- On 7 of 10 of today's coins, price and open interest over the last 24 hours read as new money long.
- Biggest rise in open interest: LTC +13.8%.
- Biggest fall: DOT -3.5%.
- A reading of the last 24 hours, not a forecast.
The 24 hour read leans toward fresh long positioning, with 7 of 10 coins in the new money long camp. LTC shows the biggest open interest rise at +13.8%, while DOT is the weakest on open interest at -3.5%.
Coin profileXLM25 Sept 2026, 07:19 UTC XLM is at 100% of its Bollinger band
- XLM today: RSI 64.2, Bollinger %B 100%.
- It sits at 29% of its 52-week range.
- Retail is 54% long, the largest accounts 65% long (daily readings).
- Five readings of today, not a forecast.
RSI 64.2 and Bollinger %B 100% show price pressing the top of its recent band. At 29% of its 52-week range, with retail 54% long and the largest accounts 65% long, the picture is firm short term but mixed in the bigger range.
Day recap24 Sept 2026, 23:24 UTC
8 of 10 coins rose, led by LTC at +16.4%
- Over the last 24 hours among today's coins: LTC +16.4%, AVAX -1.9%.
- 8 of 10 finished the day higher.
- Our calls today: 8 - ADA, XLM, BCH, LTC, AVAX, HBAR, SUI, ONDO.
- Closed today: 1 - 1 target hit.
- Last 30 days: 161 calls closed, 110 reached target, 22 stopped.
- Past results, not a forecast.
Breadth was positive: 8 of 10 closed higher, led by LTC at +16.4%, while AVAX slipped -1.9%. On our side, 1 closed today and 1 target hit; over 30 days, 161 calls closed, 110 reached target, 22 stopped.
Order book24 Sept 2026, 19:18 UTC
XLM shows $1.1M of bids against $276K of asks within 1%
- Most one-sided book: XLM, $1.1M of bids against $276K of asks within 1% of price.
- Deepest overall: XLM, $1.4M within 1%.
- Across these 8 coins: $4.6M of bids, $3.5M of asks.
- Resting orders can be pulled; this is a snapshot.
XLM stands out as both the most one-sided book and the deepest overall at $1.4M within 1%. Across these 8 coins, bids at $4.6M are above asks at $3.5M, but this is a snapshot of resting orders.
Records24 Sept 2026, 07:21 UTC
BCH posts its highest daily volume since Jan 15
- BCH: highest daily volume since Jan 15 (4.8× its 20-day average).
- HBAR fell 8.7% in a day, its biggest daily drop since Feb 5.
- LTC: highest daily volume since Feb 6 (2.1× its 20-day average).
- TAO fell 8.8% in a day, its biggest daily drop since Jun 2.
Action split across the list: BCH and LTC printed their highest daily volume since Jan 15 and Feb 6, while HBAR and TAO fell 8.7% and 8.8%, their biggest daily drops since Feb 5 and Jun 2.
Records23 Sept 2026, 19:21 UTC
ZEC closed at 1,630, its highest close in over 2 years
- ZEC closed at 1,630, its highest close in over 2 years.
- UNI closed at 10.23, its highest close since Aug 24, 2025.
- XRP closed at 1.5727, its highest close since Feb 3.
- DOGE closed at 0.1004, its highest close since Jun 1.
The highs are broad rather than isolated: ZEC set a 2 year high close, while UNI, XRP and DOGE each closed at their highest since Aug 24, 2025, Feb 3 and Jun 1.
Records22 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC
NEAR posted its highest close since Jan 31, 2025
- NEAR closed at 4.2710, its highest close since Jan 31, 2025.
- BTC closed at 86,620, its highest close since Jan 28.
- SOL closed at 118.90, its highest close since Jan 28.
- ETH closed at 2,776, its highest close since Jan 29.
Today's closes were broadly strong: BTC at 86,620, SOL at 118.90 and ETH at 2,776 all reached their highest close since Jan 28 or Jan 29, while NEAR at 4.2710 reached its highest close since Jan 31, 2025.
Crowd vs big accountsBTC22 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC Retail long share fell to 47% while top traders stay net long
- Retail long share (daily reading): 54% a week ago, 47% today.
- Top trader positions (daily reading): long/short 2.18, net long.
- Open interest: +5.5% in 7 days.
- Funding: +11.0%/yr, longs pay shorts.
Retail moved from 54% long a week ago to 47% today, while top trader positions are still 2.18 long/short and net long. With open interest +5.5% in 7 days and funding at +11.0%/yr, positioning is active and tilted to longs, but the account groups are split.
Records21 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC
ETH posted its highest close since Jan 30
- ETH closed at 2,645, its highest close since Jan 30.
- BNB closed at 772.56, its highest close since Feb 2.
ETH closed at 2,645, its highest close since Jan 30, while BNB closed at 772.56, its highest close since Feb 2. Together, the data show strength in 2 large coins at the close.
Our week21 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC
59 of 62 decided calls hit target in the last 7 days
- Our published calls that closed in the last 7 days: 63.
- Target hit 59, stopped 3, expired 0, not filled 1.
- 59 of the 62 decided calls were LONGs, opened on 10 different days; BTC +8.8% over the last 7 days.
- Same-side calls rise and fall with the market together, so 62 results are far fewer independent bets.
- Why our posts show two numbers: our stop sits further away than the first target, so even a random side reached the target first in ~75% of similar past setups. Ours: ~80%. The edge is the gap, not the headline number.
The week shows 59 target hits with BTC +8.8%, but the lines also say 62 results are not independent bets and ~75% of similar past setups reached the target first at random. That makes ~80% look like a modest edge, not a standalone win rate.
Days like todayZEC20 Sept 2026, 16:21 UTC ZEC was higher 10 days later on 66% of similar days
- ZEC has been in a setup like today's on 58 days since Jul 2024: bullish EMA stack, RSI 69 +/-7, low volume.
- 10 days later, price was higher on 66% of those days and lower on 34%.
- Median move +5.1%, range -34.7% to +133.0%.
- Overlapping days, not independent cases. Past data, not a forecast.
Across 58 similar days since Jul 2024, the historical skew was positive, but outcomes were wide: median move +5.1%, with results from -34.7% to +133.0%. That reads as a positive tilt with high dispersion.
Crowd vs big accountsSOL20 Sept 2026, 16:21 UTC Retail long share on SOL perps fell to 62% from 70%
- Retail long share (daily reading): 70% a week ago, 62% today.
- Top trader positions (daily reading): long/short 2.40, net long.
- Open interest: +5.4% in 7 days.
- Funding: +11.0%/yr, longs pay shorts.
Retail is still 62% long, while top trader positions are 2.40 long/short and net long. Open interest is +5.4% in 7 days and funding is +11.0%/yr, so longs are still paying to hold that positioning.